巴西南部南里奥格兰德州最近连降暴雨，引发洪水和山体滑坡等自然灾害。    Israel officially launched its election season last week, with parties competing for 120 seats at the Israeli parliament ̶ the Knesset. The elections are expected to take place on 1 November, and Israeli media polls are already releasing their projections for the upcoming race.,A Comeback for Netanyahu,Ex-Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is leading the latest polls. His Likud Party is projected to grab 34 seats in the chamber, four more than the March 2021 elections. Other surveys predict that he may win even more spots. Aviv Bushinsky, who served as Netanyahu’s media advisor, explained that there is an "80 percent chance" his former boss will soon be making a comeback.,Arab-Israeli Community Ready to Stand Up Against Netanyahu as They Prepare for His Return1 July, 05:23 GMT,Bushinsky claimed that the policies of the Naftali Bennett government help Netanyahu’s popularity, despite his ongoing trial in which he is accused of bribery, fraud and breach of trust.,"The previous government did a number of good things like the way they handled COVID-19, the quiet they established vis-a-vis Gaza and the fact that there is no deficit in Israel," said Bushinsky. "But that coalition was weak. It couldn't legislate anything.,They focused on the maintenance and on counting seats and they created a feeling among many Israelis that the Arabs dominate the parliament unproportionally. Their demands were too high and very often [those Arab parties] aligned themselves with the Palestinians," he added.,Past Mistakes?,Since its inception in June 2021, the Bennett government has been relying on the support of Raam, an Islamic parliamentary faction believed to have ties with the Muslim Brotherhood*.,To win its support, the government allocated some $10.5 billion to the needs of the Arab community, specifically to tackle growing crime rates and unemployment, as well as improve poor infrastructure. Later, it was also revealed that another Arab party -- the Joint Arab List -- received more than $60 million in exchange for its "cooperation" in the Knesset.,Netanyahu Throws Likud Ally Under the Bus After He Proposes Including Arab Party in Coalition26 June, 18:21 GMT,Some Israelis perceived this as bribing the Arab parliamentarians in order to keep the coalition intact. Others saw the main reason for the dire security situation and the wave of terrorist activity in these actions.,Not an Easy Fight,However, Bushinsky believes that Netanyahu’s comeback will not be easy, and his success will largely depend on who will agree to join his coalition.,For now, there are not so many buyers. Current PM Yair Lapid holds a grudge against Netanyahu and is unlikely to give up his seat. The head of Yisrael Beitenu Party also has bad blood with the former premier, as do many other politicians.,Yet, Bushinsky explained that it is not a hopeless case.,"[The head of the Blue and White party] Benny Gantz didn't rule out that he would sit with Netanyahu. Yamina under [Interior Minister Ayelet] Shaked might do that as well, although we don't know how strong her party will be".,"One thing is for sure: Netanyahu is preparing an aggressive campaign," he informed.,‘We Will Not Join Him’: Gantz Parries Claims He Courted Likud, But Bennett’s Bloc Still on the Rocks27 May, 20:26 GMT,The focus of Netanyahu’s campaign will reportedly be on highlighting the tendencies of Lapid to tilt towards the liberals. Netanyahu is due to emphasize that Bennett was in a coalition with Raam that purportedly supports terrorists.,Bibi is also expected to allege that his main challenger would divide Jerusalem and make painful concessions to the Palestinians. Netanyahu, on the other hand, will present himself as a defender of Israel and as Mr. Security.,"This is Netanyahu's comfort zone. By conducting a harsh and aggressive campaign, Netanyahu will push the masses out to the ballots and this will increase his chances," said Bushinsky.,"At the same time, if he leads an aggressive campaign against Arabs, it might push them into the ballots too and that might not be in favor of Netanyahu," he added.,In any case, Netanyahu is prepared for a fight. His team is saying that he will be touring Israel and won't leave any stone unturned. He knows that this might be his last change to forge a coalition.,"If he fails, members of the Likud might start thinking that he needs to be replaced so that their party could enter a coalition and establish a government. They might want to give somebody else a chance," summed up Bushinsky.,*Muslim Brotherhood is a terrorist organization banned in Russia.。

据央视新闻，当地时间5月11日上午，巴西南里奥格兰德州民防部门发布信息显示，自4月29日以来袭击该州的暴雨灾害已导致136人死亡、756人受伤、125人失踪，另有44.1万余人流离失所。目前该州受暴雨灾害影响的城市为444个，受灾人数超过195万人。

B |

综合央视新闻、新华社报道，南里奥格兰德州有2座大坝处于紧急状态，存在坍塌风险。在该州首府阿雷格里港，瓜伊巴河水位上涨至5.3米，达到历史最高值，并发生决堤，许多街区被淹，阿雷格里港国际机场5月3日起停运。

巴西地质部门说，此次洪灾的严重程度已超过1941年的历史性洪水，部分地区水位达到近150年有记录以来的最高水平。

此次暴雨在南里奥格兰德州引发断水、断电、断网的情况。

巴西气象部门数据显示，部分地区在不到一周的时间内降雨量达到300毫米，南里奥格兰德州497个城市中超过三分之二受到洪水等灾害影响，部分道路和桥梁被冲毁，逾40万用户电力供应中断，全州近三分之一居民供水中断。当局表示，这是南里奥格兰德州历史上最严重的自然灾害。

阿雷格里港人口约130万。受本轮恶劣天气影响，许多人家已断水断电多日。市长办公室消息说，阿雷格里港6家污水处理厂中眼下仅有2家维持运行，许多医院和避难所不得不依赖运水车解决饮用水需求。

连日来，巴西总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦已多次视察灾区，承诺提供援助。超过3000名军人、消防员和救援人员投入救灾。巴西海军8日向南里奥格兰德州派出“大西洋”号多用途航空母舰，舰上设有两个移动污水处理装置。

C |

志愿者法比亚诺·萨尔达尼亚说，5月3日以来，他和朋友用水上摩托艇转移了大约50名受困人员，在受灾街区随处可以听到呼救声。

凯莉·莫赖斯家的房屋一楼被淹。

D | 他们受困于二楼时获救，现栖身于阿雷格里港一处临时避难中心。37岁的护士罗萨娜·库斯托迪奥的住宅同样被淹。

E | 她告诉法新社记者，洪水2日夜间来袭，水位迅速上涨，她和丈夫、3个孩子乘皮艇匆忙转移，虽然家人安全无虞，但“我们失去了全部家当”。

在阿雷格里港附近的卡诺阿斯市，76岁的儒利奥·马尼切斯科获救时被洪水困在他居住了52年的老屋房顶。“我从来没见过这么大的（洪）水。”

据悉，南里奥格兰德州是巴西经济最繁荣的州之一，也是巴西重要的大豆、大米、小麦和玉米的生产基地，此次洪灾造成的经济损失严重。

受厄尔尼诺现象影响，巴西近来遭遇一系列极端天气事件，北部干旱，南部强降雨频繁。有关专家表示，气候变化导致此类事件发生的几率增加。

F | 南里奥格兰德州于去年9月和11月都发生过洪灾。

除了巴西外，印度尼西亚、美国、阿富汗、乌拉圭、肯尼亚等多国近日也遭遇洪水袭击。

G |

印度尼西亚南苏拉威西省因强降雨引发洪水和山体滑坡，造成至少15人死亡。此外，印度尼西亚西苏门答腊省官员称，当地时间5月12日，该省阿甘县强降雨引发洪水，已致15人死亡、18人受伤，另有多座房屋损毁。

据美国媒体报道，美国得克萨斯州5月初遭遇暴雨袭击，洪水已经淹没了休斯敦的社区，救援人员已经从被洪水淹没的屋顶和道路上救出了400多人。

H |

此外，据美联社当地时间5月10日报道，美国阿拉斯加州西南部因春季河冰融化而遭洪水侵袭，该州州长迈克·邓利维当日因此发布灾难声明。

I | 报道称，阿拉斯加州贝塞尔市本周的河流水位达到了近20年来最高点。

目前，洪水已经淹没了贝塞尔市低洼地区的房屋以及奎斯卢克市的大部分地区，并阻断了通往该州纳帕斯基亚克机场的道路。此外，受洪水影响，阿拉斯加州的主要污水处理系统已经关闭，该州正在通过空运瓶装水的方式向民众供水。

J |

据肯尼亚政府5月11日的统计数据，自3月中旬以来，肯尼亚强降雨引发的洪水灾害已造成267人死亡，另有77人失踪。洪灾还导致约281835人流离失所。

据联合国世界粮食计划署和阿富汗地方官员11日发布的消息，两天来，暴雨造成的洪水等灾害已导致阿富汗超过330人遇难。

K |

10日以来，阿富汗北部的巴格兰省、巴达赫尚省，以及塔哈尔省等多地遭遇暴雨，并引发洪灾和泥石流。其中，巴格兰省受灾最为严重，截至11日，遇难人数已超300人，近5000栋房屋受损或沦为废墟，电力与通信设施严重损坏，一些村庄与外界的交通被切断。